Tracking Polls: A Perspective

Yes, the race is very close. The Candidates are dead-even in the latest tracking polls. Just for kicks, let's take a look at a tracking poll from October 30, 2000:

With no significant change in today's results, Bush currently is garnering support from 47 percent of all likely voters surveyed and Gore is drawing 44 percent. That represents a shift of just two points from Sunday's figures, which had the Republican ahead 49 percent to 42 percent. The survey of 2,207 likely voters was conducted October 26-28 and has a 2 point margin of error.

A broader six-day tracking poll shows Bush with a 48 percent-43 percent edge.

If Kerry was doing as poorly as Gore, we'd have reason to worry. Fortunately, Kerry is polling better than Gore…and Gore won the 2000 election. That should provide some measure of hope, eh?